Tropical Depression Sixteen forms in the Caribbean Sea

Geneva Matthews
October 5, 2017

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters will investigate the disturbance Wednesday afternoon in an aircraft, which will provide more details, the center said. Once named, it will become Nate.

Check The Palm Beach Post's live storm tracking map.

At least a minimal hurricane is likely to be moving northward through the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Several factors will determine the storm's ultimate path, but the National Hurricane Center is advising residents of the gulf coast from Louisiana to Florida to watch as this storm progresses.

The NHC issued its first public advisory about the storm, which has been dubbed Tropical Depression 16, on Wednesday.

The National Hurricane Center is predicting that Tropical Storm Nate will thread the needle between the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba, allowing it to continue to intensify slowly over time. Regardless of development, the system was forecast to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next few days.

Wind shear is now low, and western Caribbean Sea water temperatures are now in the mid- to upper 80s, about 2 to 5 degrees above average.

The main impacts, there, will include bands of locally heavy rain, elevated surf, and some stronger wind gusts.

Here in Southwest Florida, it's just too soon to get too detailed on our forecast for the upcoming weekend since it will greatly depend on how this tropical wave evolves and where it goes.

You can monitor both systems along with updates to your local forecast on our WBRC weather app.

On average, the Atlantic Basin, which includes the Caribbean and Gulf, experiences two of them annually from October 4 on.

These Central American gyres are notorious for flooding rainfall over Central America and Mexico, and this one will be no exception.

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